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US Intel Report Predicts US Decline as Global Resource Wars Rise

Latest National Intelligence Council assessment reads like 'script for the next James Bond movie'

 

- Beth Brogan, Staff writer
 

Billed by skeptics as "science fiction"—replete with predictions of "super-villainy" and "superhuman" abilities brought about by technological advances—report released Monday by the US government predicts that America's economic dominance will be overtaken by China within the next 20 years while opportunities for war will likely grow amid a growing fight over the world's diminishing natural resources.

Artificial limbs like these could be only the beginning of man-machine interfaces, the National Intelligence Council predicts. (Photo: DoD)Predictable in how it frames many issues regarding the noble supremacy of the United States in global affairs, the latest report by the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) is a hodgepodge of neo-liberal economic analysis, foreign policy cold-bloodedness, wishful thinking and sci-fi fantasy.

 

The report,"Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds," the latest in a series of assessments released every four years by the NIC, warns of certain "black swans"—potential game-changing events such as a global pandemic, the collapse of major economies, or a nuclear war—that could upend global structures and cause havoc for world governments.

 

Not withstanding its inevitable adherence to notions of 'American exceptionalism,' the report does give collective voice to broadly held views across the US intelligence community, many that speak to troubling developments that could well come to pass.

 

Included in that list are aspects of thereport that predict nearly half of the world's population will likely struggle with shortages of food, water and energy in the coming decades.

 

As the New York Times notes, the NIC predicts that by 2030 "half of the world’s population will probably be living in areas that suffer from severe shortages of fresh water, meaning that management of natural resources will be a crucial component of global national security efforts."

 

According to the report itself:

Demand for resources will increase owing to an increase in global population from 7.1 billion today to about 8 billion by 2030. Demand for food set to rise 35 percent; energy 50 percent over the next 15-20 years. Nearly half of world population will live in areas with severe water stress. Fragile states most at risk, but China and India are vulnerable to volatility of key resources. Main questions will be whether there will be more effective management, wider technology use, and greater governance mechanisms.

 

About 50 countries "will be at risk of internal conflict or wars with neighbors," the study notes, "set off by increasing nationalism and border rivalries fought in the absence of any regional security architecture to resolve them." In addition, continued tensions among nations with atomic weapons could lead to nuclear war.

 

Writing Monday in The Ticket, Olivier Knox notes that "The 160-page report is a great read for anyone in the business of crafting the script for the next James Bond movie, a treasure trove of potential scenarios for international intrigue, not to mention super-villainy."

Knox continues:

The report also sees the potential for "black swan" shocks to the system. These include: A severe pandemic; faster-than-forecast climate change; the collapse of the European Union; the collapse of China (or its embrace of democracy); and a reformed Iran that abandons its suspected nuclear weapons program. They also include a conflict using nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons, or a large-scale cyber-attack; solar geomagnetic storms that may knock out satellites and the electric grid; or a sudden retreat of the U.S. from global affairs.

The Times notes that the study acknowledges that "game changes" could affect the outcome of the next two decades: "a crisis-prone world economy, shortcomings in governance, conflicts within states and between them, the impact of new technologies and whether the United States can 'work with new partners to reinvent the international system.'”

 

Danger Room's Noah Schactman points out how a close reading of the report exposes the US intelligence community's sometimes alarming preoccupation with science fiction, writing: "3-D printed organs. Brain chips providing superhuman abilities. Megacities, built from scratch. The U.S. intelligence community is taking a look at the world of 2030. And it is very, very sci-fi."

Though once a consulant for a previous NIC report himself, Schachtman is largely dismissive of the report. Pausing casually along the way to note that the reports authors are seemingly "well convinced that America is [...] on the decline and that China is on the ascent," Schachtmann sums up by saying:

most of the findings are apolitical bets on which tech will leap out the furthest over the next 17 years. People can check back in 2030 to see if the intelligence agencies are right — that is, if you still call the biomodded cyborgs roaming the planet people.

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"I'm just trying to make a way out of no way, for my people" -Modejeska Monteith Simpkins

 

AFRICAN AMERICA IS AT WAR

THERE IS A RACE WAR ON AFRICAN AMERICA

THERE IS A RACE WAR ON AFRICAN AMERICANS

THERE IS A RACE WAR ON BLACK PEOPLE IN AMERICA

AMERICA'S RACISTS HAVE INFILTRATED AMERICAN POLICE FORCES TO WAGE A RACE WAR AGAINST BLACK PEOPLE IN AMERICA

THE BLACK RACE IS AT WAR

FIRST WORLD WAR:  THE APPROXIMATELY 6,000 YEAR WORLD WAR ON AFRICA AND THE BLACK RACE

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What is going to happen as young people around the world begin approaching their 30s and finally begin to realize how the United States wasted resources and promoted stupid consumerism world wide?

 

There is no escaping the fact that we are working on 8 BILLION people.

 

Read a book from 1974

 

The Mote in God's Eye

http://littleredreviewer.wordp...-by-niven-pournelle/

 

So when are we going to encourage Black kids to become technologically astute without worship of palefaces who mostly just hide information and make things more complicated so they can appear to be intelligent?

 

Xum

All 6 billion of us were once upon a time just innocent babies.  Humans grow up and the crap hits the fan.  I believe eventually we'll all be destroyed.  I won't live to see it, when the end comes for everyone, totally, but I've never seen anything the likes ofwhat we're living through now.  Insanity rules these day.  I was born 7 months after WWII started and there's been nothing but wars of some kind or another every single day that I've been alive.  Hate, Murder, Racial BS; too, too much.  My live's not too problematic.  I just thank God for my family and that I'm still living.  Just have to tune all the madness out.  Live the best I can and hope for the best for all of us.  That's all I can do.

I believe humanity is standing at a crossroad marked 50/50, and it depends on which one humanity chooses, whether or not humanity will end up either destroying itself and the world or coming to grips with the fact that humanity has to stop causing destruction in the form of wars, isms, pollution of the environment, the air, the water, even the soil depended on to grow food, and stop producing man-made chemicals and concoctions that do nothing but destroy and deplete our our natural environment and human health.

 

It will be an all or nothing, depending on the road humanity will choose.

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