Crowd Scientists Say Women’s March
in Washington Had 3 Times More
People Than Trump’s Inauguration

DC_pano.jpg
Independence Avenue at peak crowd density. Composite image by Joe Ward based on video from Urdu Voice of America

The women’s march in Washington was roughly three times the size of the audience at President Trump’s inauguration, crowd counting experts said Saturday.

Marcel Altenburg and Keith Still, crowd scientists at Manchester Metropolitan University in Britain, analyzed photographs and video taken of the National Mall and vicinity and estimated that there were about 160,000 people in those areas in the hour leading up to Mr. Trump’s speech Friday.

They estimated that at least 470,000 people were at the women’s march in Washington in the areas on and near the mall at about 2 p.m. Saturday.

The two images below show the crowds when they were at their peak density at the two events.

2017 Trump inauguration

58th Presidential Inaugural Committee

2017 Women’s march

ABC News Footage

The estimates are not comprehensive counts and were necessarily limited by the availability of photographs and video that covered the areas of interest. But their estimate was in line with one given by a city official who said that march participation likely surpassed half a million, according to The Associated Press.

A Metro official said that more than a million rail trips were taken Saturday, the second-highest day in its history after Barack Obama's first inauguration in 2009. More than 570,000 rail trips were taken on Friday.

The scientists had better images for the analysis of Mr. Trump’s inauguration crowd, which was concentrated on the mall. But the women’s march was more sprawling and fluid, so the actual number of people at the women’s march could be larger.

It is likely that the timing and location of the march — on a weekend, in a Democratic city in a Democratic region — helped drive the significant turnout.

In addition to wide-angle images, the scientists made use of news images that provided closer views of the crowds, which allowed them to calculate the density of specific areas more precisely.

For the women’s march, they chose a period in time when the crowd was moving the least, from 1:30 p.m. to 2:15 p.m. Using aerial footage and photographs from various angles, the analysts isolated areas with an average density of 2.5 people per square meter, the same method used at Mr. Trump’s inauguration the day before.

The maps below show the areas that they determined to be high crowd density at each event.

But Mr. Trump was clearly upset with what he felt were undercounts of his own event the day before. In a visit to the Central Intelligence Agency on Saturday, Mr. Trump falsely accused the media of lying about the size of the crowds at his inauguration, saying that when he looked out from his podium, “it looked like a million, a million and a half people,” and that the area “all the way back to the Washington Monument was packed.”

Later in the day, Sean Spicer, the White House press secretary, claimed that Friday’s event was “the largest audience to ever witness an inauguration,” even though “no one had numbers” to confirm it because the Park Service does not issue crowd estimates.

The Park Service said in 2009 that it “firmly” believed that Mr. Obama had drawn the largest crowd ever to the National Mall. The location could have also been a contributing factor for the crowds that year; about half of Washington’s population is black, and more than 92 percent of the city voted Democratic.

Mr. Spicer said that the area between the platform where Mr. Trump was sworn in and the Washington Monument could hold 720,000 people, and claimed that “all of this space was full when the president took the oath of office.”

The images below, captured 45 minutes before the respective oaths of office, show areas that were crowded with people at Mr. Obama’s inauguration that were clearly empty during Mr. Trump’s.

 Mr. Trump’s.

2009 Obama inauguration

Jewel Samad/AFP/Getty Images

2017 Trump inauguration

58th Presidential Inaugural Committee

“There is a scientific explanation why the crowd size must have appeared to Trump in 2017 similar or even larger than to Obama in 2009,” said Mr. Altenburg, one of the crowd scientists.

The scientists said Mr. Trump would only have seen the tightly packed front third of the crowd, but not the back two-thirds, from his position at the podium. To make their estimates, they monitored seven live feeds all day, including those from perspectives that someone at the podium would not have been able to perceive.

2009 Obama inauguration

ABC News Footage

2017 Trump inauguration

58th Presidential Inaugural Committee

Original Post

  I am ESPECIALLY proud of the many women in Cali specifically Los Angeles whose numbers went almost to one million women.  Women are going to be the ones to handle this problem in the country.  Why?  Cuz everyone has a mother....including Trump!

 

750K Flock to Downtown LA for Women's March Los Angeles, Organizers Say

The march in LA is a sister march to a massive gathering planned in Washington, D.C.

 
 
 
 
 
 
Thousands of people took to the streets of downtown Los Angeles for the Women's March, a sister march to the Women's March on Washington. Patrick Healy reports for the NBC4 News at 6 on Saturday, Jan. 21, 2017. (Published Saturday, Jan. 21, 2017)

 

 

 

 

 

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Some 750,000 people flooded the streets of downtown Los Angeles Saturday to march in solidarity with the Women's March on Washington, according to organizers for the event.

Event organizers for the Women's March-Los Angeles say the day is designed to unify communities and make a stand for "justice and equity for all."

The mission statement for the march reads in part, "We stand together in solidarity for the protection of our rights, our safety, our health and our families -- recognizing that our vibrant and diverse communities are the strength of our country."

The march came a day after Donald Trump's inauguration. Although it appears nowhere on the site for the event, the march appears to be in direct response to the election of Trump. But organizers have to be clear to point out the march will be "pro-woman" rather than "anti-Trump.

Thousands Attend Women's March in Downtown Los Angeles

 
 
[LA] Thousands Attend Women's March in Downtown Los Angeles
Thousands attended the Women's March in downtown Los Angeles. Patrick Healy reports for the NBC4 News at 6 on Saturday, Jan. 21, 2017. (Published Saturday, Jan. 21, 2017)

"Women's March Los Angeles is about having our voices heard, activating our community and unifying our community. Women's rights are human rights," said organizer Emiliana Guereca.

Organizers for Women's March Los Angeles estimated three-quarters of a million people came out for the event. The Los Angeles Police Department deferred to the organizers for the march when asked about a crowd estimate.

The march in LA is a sister march to a massive gathering planned in Washington, D.C., where hundreds of thousands of people are expected to turn out, including Gloria Steinem as well as many celebrities like America Ferrera, Ashley Judd, and others.

Marchers in Los Angeles enjoyed a break in the rain between a series of storms that have drenched Southern California this week.

Massive Crowds Gather for Women's March Los Angeles

 
 
[LA] Massive Crowds Gather for Women's March Los Angeles
(Published Saturday, Jan. 21, 2017)

Participants began meeting at Pershing Square at 9 a.m., and the official march was slated to commence at 10 a.m. The march was expected to end at City Hall, and speakers including Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis, Mayor Eric Garcetti, and former Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa are expected to attend. Other notable attendees include Jane Fonda, Laverne Cox, Debbie Allen, Miley Cyrus and Ariana Grande.

Los Angeles County Supervisor Janice Hahn was also planning to attend.

"I am marching Saturday because I want to show my support for the millions of Americans who continue to believe that we should be a nation that respects and supports everyone whether they are a woman, a man, an immigrant, gay, straight, trans, poor or Muslim," Hahn said. "We need to lead by example and fight to make Los Angeles County a model for the nation."

As of Saturday morning, 93,000 people said they were attending on the event's Facebook page, and another 73,000 noted they were interested in attending the event.

Street closures will be in place and traffic delays are expected due to the march, which is expected to end at 4 p.m.

Organizers highly reccommended that participants take public transit to the event. More information about what you need to know about the Los Angeles march can be found here or on the event website.

Trains on the Metrolink's San Bernardino and Antelope Valley lines were at capacity Saturday morning and could not pick up additional passengers as they traveled to Union Station, said Scott Johnson a spokesman for Metrolink. The San Bernardino Line was carrying about 1,000 people, and the Antelope Valley line out of Lancaster was carrying about 600.

Amtrack 763, traveling through Orange County, was also at capacity but Johnson could not confirm whether or not it was picking up additional passengers.

NBC4's Jessica Rice, Heather Navarro and City News Service contributed to this report.




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